Coventry City U21vs
Colchester United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coventry City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (6%), 2-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coventry City U21 1-0 Colchester United U21
Original prediction
Coventry City U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.0% | 43.1% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 19.9% | 25.1% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.1% | 31.8% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–26%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Coventry City U21
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Coventry City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 13 · GA 18 · avg 2.60/3.60