Coventry City U21vs
Barnsley U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coventry City U21 5-3 Barnsley U21
Original prediction
Barnsley U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.1% | 32.8% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.4% | 23.5% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.5% | 43.7% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Barnsley U21
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Barnsley U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00