League CupLeague Cup
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Cove Rangers

Cove Rangers

Home
L
04
Full time
ST Mirren

ST Mirren

Away
W
Balmoral Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
ST Mirren(39%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Cove Rangers
26%
Draw
35%
ST Mirren
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Cove Rangers
34
ST Mirren
73
Defence
Cove Rangers
1
ST Mirren
91
Momentum
Cove Rangers
0
ST Mirren
100
Danger (xG)
Cove Rangers
0.90
ST Mirren
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Cove Rangers)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (ST Mirren)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Cove Rangers)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (ST Mirren)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Cove RangersCove Rangers
WL
ST MirrenST Mirren
W

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Cove Rangers26%
Draw35%
ST Mirren39%

ST Mirren leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Cove Rangers head into this in League Cup fixture at Balmoral Stadium in mixed form (L), while ST Mirren arrive in mixed form (W). Cove Rangers have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for ST Mirren over 1 games.

Tactically, ST Mirren hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Cove Rangers defence (1/100), while Cove Rangers's attack faces a watertight ST Mirren backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Cove Rangers have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game at home. ST Mirren have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Cove Rangers and ST Mirren in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects ST Mirren to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Cove Rangers 2599%, Draw 3500%, ST Mirren 3900%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Cove Rangers

Cove Rangers

W
vs East Kilbride
14 Jul 2026
32
L
vs Inverness CT
7 Jul 2026
14
ST Mirren

ST Mirren

W
@ Aberdeen
12 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Cove Rangers vs ST Mirren?

GoalVio's model predicts ST Mirren to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Cove Rangers vs ST Mirren?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Cove Rangers vs ST Mirren?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cove Rangers vs ST Mirren?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more