Cove Rangersvs
Ross County
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ross County · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cove Rangers 0-2 Ross County
Original prediction
Ross County
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.25 | 12.6% | 15.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.7% | 21.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 67.7% | 63.0% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Ross County
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80