GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cove Rangers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cove Rangers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Queen of the South are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Cove Rangers hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the League One, while Cove Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cove Rangers

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Cove Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cove RangersWDLDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Queen of the SouthWWLWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cove RangersQueen of the South
0.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence0.0
16.7Form0.0
31.3Power11.2
1.62xG1.03
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