GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Falkirk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Cove Rangers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Falkirk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Falkirk hold a 49.4-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the League One, while Falkirk holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Falkirk

Probability

70.4%

Model confidence

70.4%

Falkirk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cove RangersLDLWW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FalkirkWWLDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cove RangersFalkirk
0.0Attack88.9
66.7Defence74.1
16.7Form83.3
31.3Power80.7
0.65xG2.26
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