Cove Rangersvs
Alloa Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alloa Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cove Rangers 1-1 Alloa Athletic
Original prediction
Alloa Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 29.6% | 29.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.8% | 29.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.6% | 41.8% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Alloa Athletic
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Alloa Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40