GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Schweizer Cup · 8/19/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Black Stars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Courtételle are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Black Stars are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Black Stars hold a 42.9-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Schweizer Cup, while Black Stars holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Black Stars

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Black Stars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CourtételleWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Black StarsDWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
CourtételleBlack Stars
0.0Attack88.9
33.3Defence22.2
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power58.3
1.99xG2.45
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