Costa Ricavs
Curaçao
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/25/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Costa Rica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Costa Rica 0-0 Curaçao, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Costa Rica 3-4 Curaçao
Original prediction
Costa Rica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.1% | 39.9% | -15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.5% | 31.9% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.3% | 28.2% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.2 pts
Projected Score
Costa Rica 0–0 Curaçao
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Costa Rica
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Costa Rica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Costa RicaLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
CuraçaoWLLDW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Costa RicaCuraçao
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.76xG0.64