Costa BravavsSol de Mayo

COMPLETED

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Costa Brava · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Costa Brava 0-0 Sol de Mayo, with an exact score probability of 28%.

Final result

Costa Brava 1-0 Sol de Mayo

Original prediction

Costa Brava

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.41	63.7%	51.6%	-12.0 pts
Draw	3.73	24.0%	31.6%	7.5 pts
Away	7.30	12.3%	16.8%	4.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-12.0 pts

Projected Score

Costa Brava 0–0 Sol de Mayo

Exact score probability: 28%

Predicted outcome

Costa Brava

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Costa Brava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Costa BravaWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5

Sol de MayoLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5

Costa BravaSol de Mayo

30.6Attack29.2

72.2Defence56.9

43.1Form33.3

50.5Power42.6

0.87xG0.44