GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Costa Brava 0-0 Juventud Unida Univ., with an exact score probability of 49%.

Prediction record

Final result

Costa Brava 1-2 Juventud Unida Univ.

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9646.2%35.1%-11.1 pts
Draw2.8331.9%43.3%11.4 pts
Away4.1421.9%21.6%-0.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.4 pts

Projected Score

Costa Brava 0–0 Juventud Unida Univ.

Exact score probability: 49%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Costa BravaWWDDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Juventud Unida Univ.LDLWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Costa BravaJuventud Unida Univ.
27.0Attack20.6
74.6Defence76.2
42.9Form33.3
50.2Power45.7
0.42xG0.31
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