GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/19/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Costa Brava are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atenas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

41.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Costa BravaDDDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AtenasDLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Costa BravaAtenas
26.3Attack28.1
71.9Defence71.9
36.8Form50.9
46.9Power52.5
0.47xG0.45
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