Cosmosvs
San Giovanni
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cosmos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Cosmos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Giovanni are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cosmos hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the Campionato, while Cosmos holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cosmos
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Cosmos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00