Cosmosvs
Pennarossa
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cosmos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cosmos 6-1 Pennarossa
Original prediction
Cosmos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 48.9% | 43.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.2% | 26.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 23.9% | 29.8% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Cosmos
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Cosmos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CosmosWLDDD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PennarossaWLLLD
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CosmosPennarossa
16.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence0.0
16.7Form0.0
31.3Power22.5
1.66xG1.30