Cosmosvs
Juvenes / Dogana
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cosmos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cosmos 1-0 Juvenes / Dogana
Original prediction
Cosmos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.7% | 50.9% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.5% | 24.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.8% | 24.3% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Cosmos
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Cosmos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CosmosWWWLD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Juvenes / DoganaLLLLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CosmosJuvenes / Dogana
75.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
58.3Form25.0
63.6Power40.3
2.06xG1.09