Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cosenza · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Cosenza are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Potenza are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cosenza hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the Serie C - Girone C, while Cosenza holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cosenza
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
17.6%
Cosenza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00