Corvinul Hunedoaravs
Universitatea Craiova
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 9/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Craiova · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Corvinul Hunedoara 0-1 Universitatea Craiova
Original prediction
Universitatea Craiova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 22.9% | 27.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.1% | 28.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 50.0% | 44.6% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Craiova
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Universitatea Craiova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80