GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/25/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Corvinul Hunedoara are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while HNK Rijeka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.9 against 47.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Corvinul HunedoaraLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HNK RijekaLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Corvinul HunedoaraHNK Rijeka
33.3Attack16.7
75.0Defence75.0
33.3Form41.7
45.9Power47.4
1.08xG0.88
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