Coruxovs
Racing Santander II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coruxo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coruxo 1-1 Racing Santander II
Original prediction
Coruxo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.3% | 44.8% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.6% | 24.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 23.0% | 30.5% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Coruxo
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Coruxo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60