Coruxovs
Compostela
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coruxo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Coruxo 0-1 Compostela
Original prediction
Coruxo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.9% | 39.7% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.3% | 29.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 24.8% | 31.2% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Coruxo
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Coruxo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80