Coruñavs
Celta de Vigo III
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Coruña 0-0 Celta de Vigo III, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Coruña 3-1 Celta de Vigo III
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.5% | 34.4% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.1% | 31.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.4% | 33.7% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Coruña 0–0 Celta de Vigo III
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CoruñaL
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Celta de Vigo IIINo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
CoruñaCelta de Vigo III
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power50.0
0.74xG0.80