CortuluavsReal Cartagena

Cortulua are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the Copa Colombia, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.