Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cortulua are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Quindio are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Quindio hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00