GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/27/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Venados FCWLDWD

GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatVenados FC
91.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
58.3Form58.3
62.0Power53.2
2.31xG1.72
View match centre →