GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/21/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Venados FCWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatVenados FC
91.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
58.3Form58.3
62.0Power53.2
2.31xG1.72
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