GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/24/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatDDWDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Venados FCDWWWL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatVenados FC
91.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
58.3Form58.3
62.0Power53.2
2.31xG1.72
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