GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/17/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

64.4%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
TlaxcalaDLLDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatTlaxcala
91.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
58.3Form0.0
62.0Power18.3
2.70xG1.22
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