GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/1/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 43.6-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

64.4%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatDWLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TlaxcalaWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatTlaxcala
91.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
58.3Form0.0
62.0Power18.3
2.70xG1.22
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