GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/7/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 49.0-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

69.6%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TepatitlánDLWLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
91.7Attack8.3
33.3Defence16.7
58.3Form0.0
62.0Power13.0
2.88xG1.10
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