GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/7/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 49.0-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

69.6%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatDDWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TepatitlánLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
91.7Attack8.3
33.3Defence16.7
58.3Form0.0
62.0Power13.0
2.88xG1.10
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