GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/17/2023, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLDW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Tapatío are 0W-4D-0L in their last 4 (DDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
TapatíoDDDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
Correcaminos UatTapatío
91.7Attack50.0
33.3Defence58.3
58.3Form58.3
62.0Power58.8
1.88xG1.53
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