GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/11/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MonarcasLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatMonarcas
91.7Attack88.9
33.3Defence55.6
58.3Form66.7
62.0Power69.4
1.89xG1.87
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