GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/21/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MonarcasDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatMonarcas
91.7Attack88.9
33.3Defence55.6
58.3Form66.7
62.0Power69.4
1.89xG1.87
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