GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/1/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLWLLD

GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasLWDWD

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatMineros de Zacatecas
91.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence41.7
58.3Form66.7
62.0Power68.8
2.09xG1.97
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