GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/27/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatMineros de Zacatecas
91.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence41.7
58.3Form66.7
62.0Power68.8
2.09xG1.97
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