GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/14/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 62.0 against 63.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLWDDL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Leones Negros UDGWDWWW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatLeones Negros UDG
91.7Attack77.8
33.3Defence44.4
58.3Form66.7
62.0Power63.5
2.04xG1.81
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