GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/21/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 62.0 against 63.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLWWLD

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Leones Negros UDGWDLWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatLeones Negros UDG
91.7Attack77.8
33.3Defence44.4
58.3Form66.7
62.0Power63.5
2.04xG1.81
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