GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/14/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Irapuato are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatWDDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IrapuatoWLLWW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatIrapuato
91.7Attack52.9
33.3Defence52.9
58.3Form47.1
62.0Power51.0
1.95xG1.59
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