GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/18/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Dorados are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLDLL

GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
DoradosDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatDorados
91.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
58.3Form66.7
62.0Power68.0
1.83xG1.67
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