GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/21/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dorados are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLWDD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
DoradosWLDLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatDorados
91.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence66.7
58.3Form66.7
62.0Power68.0
1.83xG1.67
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