GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/28/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cimarrones are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatWDDWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CimarronesLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatCimarrones
91.7Attack53.8
33.3Defence50.5
58.3Form46.2
62.0Power51.4
2.05xG1.62
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