GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/23/2024, 3:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Celaya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatDWLLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CelayaWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatCelaya
91.7Attack44.4
33.3Defence62.2
58.3Form46.7
62.0Power52.8
1.56xG1.34
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