GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/6/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Celaya are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLWWL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CelayaWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatCelaya
91.7Attack44.4
33.3Defence62.2
58.3Form46.7
62.0Power52.8
1.56xG1.34
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