GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/13/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoWDWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatCDS Tampico Madero
91.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence88.9
58.3Form44.4
62.0Power54.9
1.76xG1.35
View match centre →