GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cancún are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 48.8-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

62.6%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CancúnDDDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatCancún
91.7Attack16.7
33.3Defence0.0
58.3Form0.0
62.0Power13.2
2.58xG1.22
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