GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/17/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Cancún are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 48.8-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

62.6%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatWLDLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
CancúnDLWLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatCancún
91.7Attack16.7
33.3Defence0.0
58.3Form0.0
62.0Power13.2
2.58xG1.22
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