GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while CA La Paz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLDLLW

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CA La PazDLWDL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatCA La Paz
91.7Attack75.0
33.3Defence58.3
58.3Form50.0
62.0Power57.9
1.89xG1.82
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