GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/10/2023, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CA La Paz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatWWWLL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CA La PazLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatCA La Paz
91.7Attack75.0
33.3Defence58.3
58.3Form50.0
62.0Power57.9
1.89xG1.82
View match centre →