GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/27/2023, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CA La Paz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CA La PazLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatCA La Paz
91.7Attack75.0
33.3Defence58.3
58.3Form50.0
62.0Power57.9
1.89xG1.82
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