GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
91.7Attack25.0
33.3Defence58.3
58.3Form50.0
62.0Power46.7
1.94xG1.21
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